Historical, Philosophical, Political and Law Sciences, Culturology and Study of Art. Issues of Theory and Practice. Tambov: Gramota, 2012. № 10. Part 2. P. 167-172.
REVOLTS AS SUPER-ETHNOS UNSTABLE CONDITIONS CHARACTERISTIC AND PREDICTION OF THE WEST DEVELOPMENT
Saifullin Rubin Gatufovich
Kama State Engineering-Economic Academy
Abstract. The author formulates the thesis about the influence of biosocial factor - passionarity - on the genesis of large-scale interior conflicts (revolts), puts forward the proposition that revolts are typical of phase transitions and troubled periods within the phases - the unstable conditions of super-ethnos, which age limits are determined by the universal law - the numerical algorithm of etnopolitogenesis, by the analysis of the etnopolitogenesis of 14 structure-forming ethnic groups conducts the empirical verification of this proposition, and predicts the development of the West leading countries.
Key words and phrases: смута, неустойчивое состояние суперэтноса, прогноз развития Запада, revolt, unstable condition of super-ethnos, prediction of the West development
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