ANALYSIS OF INFLUENCE OF UNCERTAINTY OF INVESTOR’S PLANNING PERIOD ON RISK OF INVESTMENT PROJECT
Korosteleva Mariya Vyacheslavovna
Saint Petersburg State University
Abstract. The article is devoted to the discussion and illustration of potential problems associated with the supposition that the investor’s planning period is not a constant. In this paper the author formulates necessary statistical relations taking into account the fact that planning period is a random variable. It is shown how the uncertainty of planning period may be included in calculating the expected value and standard deviation of the net real value of investment project.
Key words and phrases: инвестиционный проект, риск, чистая настоящая стоимость инвестиционного проекта, математическое ожидание и дисперсия, плановый период инвестора, investment project, risk, net real value of investment project, expectation and variance, planning period of investor
Open the whole article in PDF format. Free PDF-files viewer can be downloaded here.
References:
Van Khorn Dzh. K. Osnovy upravleniya finansami. M.: Finansy i statistika, 2003. 800 s.
Vorontsovskii A. V. Upravlenie riskami. SPb.: OTsEiM, 2005. 482 s.
Korosteleva M. V. Imitatsionnyi podkhod k analizu chuvstvitel'nosti vnutrennei normy dokhodnosti investitsionnogo proekta // Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta. Ser. 5: Ekonomika. 2011. Vyp. 2. S. 96-104.
Korosteleva M. V. Nekotorye metody analiza chuvstvitel'nosti vnutrennei normy dokhodnosti investitsionnogo proekta // Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta. Ser. 5: Ekonomika. 2007. Vyp. 3. S. 145-152.
Korosteleva M. V. Opredelenie i analiz korrelyatsionnykh svyazei mezhdu komponentami denezhnogo potoka investitsionnogo proekta // Primenenie matematiki v ekonomike. 2009. Vyp. 18. S. 192-204.